Raw share in the achieved survey sample (%), Actual share in total population of 19 States as per Census 2011 (%), Actual share in India’s total population as per Census 2011 (%). The aim is also to assess things on her own rather than rely on officials. However, she has been a regular rover on the virtual space, being in constant touch with the district administrative heads, police, people’s representatives, party leaders and workers. Apart from these three surveys, the party will collect reports from all the district units on the ground realities. Net satisfaction with the BJD government in Odisha and the Trinamool government in West Bengal was also found to be far higher than the net satisfaction with the Modi government’s performance in these States. The BJP faces another problem. Anti-incumbency sentiment has weakened in last one year. The Hindu has always stood for journalism that is in the public interest. For reprint rights: Syndications Today, West Bengal Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee addresses a meeting in Kolkata. It was a hard knock for Mamata, but her course-correction measures show that she is a fast learner. Subscribe to The Hindu now and get unlimited access. It would, therefore, be interesting to see if voters rely more on their general sense of satisfaction or on a more nuanced sense on performance in key areas. The BJP is eyeing to win more than 220 seats in next year's elections. “We are a big family so these are trivial matters which can be solved through dialogue and discussions,” he said. Then, one AC was selected from within each sampled PC using the PPS method again. “All these surveys will fall flat on their faces as Mamata Banerjee is still the most popular mass leader in the state and the BJP doesn’t have anyone to match her mass appeal,” TMC secretary-general Partha Chatterjee said. The Trinamool Congress and the BJP workers on Monday clashed at many places during voting in eight constituencies of West Bengal, repeating the pattern of violence that has marred the ongoing national election in the state. The Congress and the Left Front contested the 2016 Assembly elections together. The survey was designed and analysed by a team of researchers at Lokniti, CSDS. But we are confident of plugging those gaps and ousting the TMC from power in the assembly elections,” he said. Region-wise voting preference based on Pre-Poll Survey ... (West Bengal). "Ensure Fair, Free" Panchayat Polls: Top Court To West Bengal Poll Panel, India News | Press Trust of India | Tuesday April 10, 2018. This 24 percentage point net satisfaction with the government marked a definite increase from its popularity numbers last year when the net satisfaction had dropped to zero (46% satisfied, 47% dissatisfied). Those Attacking Central Forces Should Be Shot On Chest: Bengal BJP Chief, India News | Indo-Asian News Service | Monday May 13, 2019. We find that the 59% satisfaction with the NDA recorded by the survey is not evenly spread across the 19 surveyed States with some States reporting very high satisfaction levels and some abysmally low. Find West Bengal Polls Latest News, Videos & Pictures on West Bengal Polls and see latest updates, news, information from NDTV.COM. The Supreme Court on Monday asked the West Bengal state election commission to "ensure fair and free" panchayat poll in the state and take appropriate steps to allay the apprehensions of BJP or other intending candidates of not being allowed to contest the elections. “For example, of the 294 constituencies, if the names are unanimous in 150 seats in both the surveys, it is quite obvious they will get the tickets if there are no major changes,” he said. The assessment of the government on corruption, price rise and employment opportunities is not very positive. The TMC retained three seats—Ghatal, Bolpur and Birbhum. People slightly more likely to consider Centre’s performance this time compared to 2014, Satisfaction with BJP MPs is the same as satisfaction with the Modi government, Dissatisfaction with performance of sitting MPs of Congress’ allies and BJP’s allies the greatest; dissatisfaction with BJP MPs higher than dissatisfaction with Cong MPs. Lok Sabha Polls: Voter Turnout In West Bengal Recorded At 34.87% Till 11AM, India News | Indo-Asian News Service | Tuesday April 23, 2019. More worryingly for her, the BJP secured a 40 per cent vote share. Mamata has gone to North Bengal with a basket of doles—a massive road repair programme, which will take up 7,000 stretches of roads with a combined length of 12,000 km. Polling in seven municipal bodies in West Bengal on Sunday was a bit like the weather - chilled out in the hills of Darjeeling but very hot in the plains. Note of caution here: Net satisfaction of BJP MPs is only for those seats that fell in our sample – in Chhattisgarh there were 3 such seats, in Karnataka 3, Maharashtra 6, Madhya Pradesh 4, Delhi 3, Bihar 4 and Uttar Pradesh 13. The party’s central unit had appointed the agencies and only a few state BJP leaders were aware of it. 243, Independent scores lone win, Third loss in row, Shatrughan, son say not the end, 1st to 3rd phase, BJP made up for lost ground, RJD slipped, 12 seats short, RJD sends out feelers to smaller parties, https://images.indianexpress.com/2020/08/1x1.png, here to join our channel (@indianexpress), Ludo movie release LIVE UPDATES: Here is how Anurag Basu came up with the title, Asif Basra (1967-2020): Celebrities pay tribute to Paatal Lok actor, Karnataka Bengaluru News Live Updates: Drugs worth Rs. The BJP is eyeing to win more than 220 seats in next year's elections. Lost Due To "Serious Confusion" Over NRC: BJP Candidate After Bypoll Defeat In Bengal, India News | Press Trust of India | Thursday November 28, 2019. The survey reports will be of immense importance for candidate selection as they will name the most popular leaders with the highest chance of winning, another BJP leader said. Finally, 38 respondents were randomly selected using the systematic method from the electoral rolls of the sampled polling stations. The PCs where the survey was conducted were randomly selected using the probability proportional to size method (adjusting the probability of choosing a particular constituency according to the size of its electorate). In many other States, even as voters are more likely to give importance to the Central government’s work, there is a high proportion that will take a final decision after taking both the governments’ work into account. Our investigators sat down in the homes of people and asked them a detailed set of questions which could take up to 30 minutes. In Chhattisgarh and Madhya Pradesh, which elected Congress governments just recently, we notice a similar pattern. Voters’ assessment of Modi government’s performance on different parameters. The questionnaire we presented to our sample of voters was designed in the language mainly spoken in the respondents’ State. Could the BJP have therefore erred in dropping all its sitting MPs? Minister Suvendu Adhikari's Events With No Trinamool Posters Hint Of Exit, India News | Written by Monideepa Banerjie | Monday November 9, 2020. The survey was designed and analysed by a team of researchers at Lokniti, CSDS. Let’s take a look at what some of the pre-poll surveys predicted for West Bengal. Barring Karnataka, all the southern States recorded a negative net satisfaction with the Central government’s performance. In May 2020, Cyclone Amphan hit the state a year before elections. Explore more on West Bengal Polls. The total sample size targeted was 10,100 with an AC/PC-wise target of 100 interviews. Prime Minister Narendra Modi is set to address a rally at the Midnapore Collegiate grounds in West Bengal. NATIONAL POLLING. But some of the new things Mamata is gifting North Bengal are 104 acres of land for upgrading and modernising the Bagdogra airport, which caters to air traffic to the Northeast. ‘Defections on the rise,’ claim TMC and BJP in poll-bound West Bengal Almost every day, the parties are uploading photos and videos of people crossing over from either side on social media. Question asked: If we compare the present BJP-led NDA government at the Centre with the earlier Congress-led UPA government, which one of the two has been better in your opinion? “Workers of both parties know the Congress-Left deal will not work,” BJP leader Dilip Ghosh said. … Podcast | Reading the polls and campaigns ahead of Bihar election 2020 results, Pfizer says COVID-19 vaccine 90% effective in Phase 3 trial, Bombay HC refuses interim bail to Arnab Goswami, Kamala Harris is made for great things, says aunt, Joe Biden may relax curbs on H-1B, job-based visas, When Joe Biden spoke of distant relatives living in Mumbai, Kamala Harris will speak out on issues, says her uncle, Thulasendrapuram goes euphoric over Kamala Harris’s victory, Somewhat dissatisfied with NDA government, Modi government should not get another chance, Net Satisfaction with NDA government (% points), Net Satisfaction with State government (% points), Performance of Central government will matter more while voting (%), Performance of State government will matter more while voting (%), Whose performance will be considered while voting in the Lok Sabha election. Top Court Seeks Report On Probe Into BJP Worker's Death In West Bengal, India News | Press Trust of India | Monday September 17, 2018. “The surveys have pointed out that there is growing resentment against the TMC government’s 10-year rule and the BJP, which is now the prime opposition in the state, is expected to be the biggest beneficiary of this resentment. The party had conducted similar surveys before the Lok Sabha elections, he said. The resultant target sample of each State was then adjusted to the nearest 100. Question asked: Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the performance of the BJP-led NDA government at the Centre over the last five years? West-Bengal Assembly Election Opinion poll 2020 Election Survey Result Who will win West-Bengal Polls BJP INC CPI AITC RSP GJM ABP News CSDS CVoter Opinion/Exit poll … They were asked to interview only those whose names had been sampled. In 10 of 19 States where survey was conducted, net satisfaction with the State government is greater than satisfaction with Central government, Net satisfaction is proportion of those satisfied minus proportion of those dissatisfied. The political unity between the Congress and the Left should be turned into electoral unity to give the Trinamool a powerful fight.”. "Shocked" At Number Of Uncontested Seats In West Bengal Polls: Top Court, India News | Press Trust of India | Tuesday July 3, 2018. There’s little else but the upcoming West Bengal elections, due April 2021, that pre-occupies Mamata Banerjee these days. In Andhra Pradesh it is -5, in Telangana, -7, and in Tamil Nadu and Kerala -39. The Congress won only one seat—Maldaha Dakshin. The Rajbangshis are opposed to the CAA; they fear the law will encourage the influx of Bangladeshi Hindus, who are alleged to have taken over their land and livelihood and are blamed for the fall in the Rajbangshi population in North Bengal from 80 per cent in 1971 to 30 per cent in 2000.

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